Webjet in Bullish Move

by Gabriel Andre on 2 April 2009

Webjet Limited (ASX: WEB) is an electronic manager and marketer of travel and related services using in internet.

Yesterday a volatile price action may have generated a signal for a bullish move in the coming weeks. Indeed, the stock opened at $1.13, reached an intraday high at $1.30 and eventually closed at $1.20. We reckon that, despite the traditional weak volumes attached to this stock, the stock spiked during the trading session when it pushed up above $1.17. As the level is on the oblique resistance line, the breakout triggered quick and sharp buying signals.

Look at the chart: the oblique resistance line is built by lower high points posted since the historical high of November 2007 (point A, at $1.84). The lower highs were posted in December 2007 (point B), April 2008 (false break, point C) and September 2008 (point D).

Click to enlarge

Since November last year, the stock was on a bullish trend, backed by a support line (in green) that was built by higher lows posted since the low point posted in last November (point E, at $0.91). The higher lows were posted in December (point F) and more recently in March (point G).

As a result, a long-term indecision pattern has been built by both the resistance and the support lines. It is a triangle which has been narrowing within a range roughly between $1.05 and $1.17.

A break above the resistance or below the support was therefore expected. The price action of yesterday argues for “buy” signal and should trigger a further rebound. The MACD has triggered a positive alert last week by crossing above its signal line. The Money Flow Index, which measures the strength of money flowing in and out of a security, has also surged from an extreme low level.

We expect a continuation of the move on the upside, with a potential objective of $1.44 on the near-term. It corresponds to a previous high posted in September (point D) and may act as a new resistance.

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