In my mind, hedge funds, on average, find it difficult to beat the market simply because they’re like most people. They give in to irrational behaviour, chase returns and aren’t able to sit still in a group of undervalued investments. So why not remove the human element from the equation?
Just because rates have been at records lows doesn’t mean they can’t go any lower. For one, there’s the Aussie property market to think about. However, by looking at what the big banks are doing, we can glean what the RBA is likely to do in the future.
The price at time of writing is US$11,098. In my view, the price is breaking down. The trend is still favourable, and you could argue that bitcoin is just correcting and consolidating its big recent move. In fact, if you’re financially and emotionally invested in it, I’m guessing that’s the story you’re telling yourself.
Cryptocurrency prices dropped by as much as 40% overnight. With plunges across the board hitting all the major tokens. With staunch crypto critics crying that the bubble is finally popping. But is it really?
Right now, pass the cash parcel is in full swing, and central banks are only very timidly trying to reduce the size of the parcel. That’s basically why you’ve seen the US stock market rise unimpeded for the past two years. Central banks are behind the curve. There is too much cash in the system given the positive investor psychology that is unfolding.
Over the past three years, we’ve seen brand after brand crumble — without even mentioning retailers in receivership. 2018 may be the year that Aussie retail finally falls flat on its face. But there’s enough evidence to suggest that it tripped over a long time ago.
Tax cuts, rising inflation, a weaker US dollar, strong economic growth…these are all reasons for the markets’ strong rally right now. While you’d have to think nearly all of these positives are priced in, the market just keeps marching higher. Prices have recently gone vertical. That’s not sustainable.
Kraken, one of the biggest exchanges in the world, shut down late last week. The site was scheduled to go down for two hours for planned maintenance. However, things didn’t go to plan, and the site remained offline for two days.
The Aussie dollar is getting a boost from stronger commodity prices. Recent price rises have helped push the dollar higher. The Aussie dollar has had a strong start to the year. However, it may be more cyclical than anything to do with the underlying strength in the Aussie dollar.
South Korea isn’t the first nation to consider banning bitcoin, but it could be the most significant. A large portion of bitcoin’s global demand comes from the country. This isn’t the first time that a major government has threatened to ban it. It likely won’t be the last. Years from now, this may be looked back on as an incredible buying opportunity.