What is Happening to NTC’s Share Price?

What is Happening to NTC’s Share Price?

What does Netcomm Wireless do?

Netcomm Wireless [ASX:AMP] provides a range of connectivity equipment to the telecommunications industry. For example, NTC makes hardware to connect fibre or cable lines from the exchange or telecommunication pits to the home.

What’s happening to NTC’s share price?

NTC’s share price jumped nearly 9% today, after the company announced a $28 million deal to supply the National Broadband Network (NBN) with ‘4-port distribution units’.

The NBN is a ‘fibre to the curb’ network, which means the telecommunication line doesn’t run into individual homes, but rather to the ‘curb’, which is really a name for various points in the neighbourhood. NTC’s equipment is then deployed at these points to help connect the NBN to the home.

As this is an ‘initial order’ the market clearly expects more good news to come.

What now for NTC?

The interesting thing about this story is that the market already knew about it. NTC made the announcement in November 2016. And as you can see in the chart below, the initial response was positive.

Netcomm Wireless ASX NTC

Source: Bigcharts

But the share price started falling again soon after.

Telco stocks have been out of favour lately, as the NBN looks like eating into the profits of many providers. But NTC isn’t really impacted by the competition from the NBN. In fact, as today’s announcement shows, its making money from the NBN.

This should be good news for the stock. But the share price is in a well-defined downtrend. For that reason I’d stay away. Today’s share price rise may be the start of a turnaround, but it’s too early to tell.

In short, NTC’s story is a good one, but the chart is sending a less positive message.

Never assess a stock’s fundamentals without looking at the chart too. Combining fundamental analysis with charting can yield powerful results.

If you’d like to know more, click here.

Greg Canavan
Editor, Money Morning

Greg Canavan

Greg Canavan

Greg is the Managing Editor for Money Morning. He helps investors preserve their wealth over the long term using a method known as value investing. Lucky for Money Morning readers, he imparts some of this knowledge on them three times a week with editorial spots.

Greg Canavan is a feature Editor at the Money Morning and is the foremost authority for retail investors on value investing in Australia.

He is also the Editor of Crisis & Opportunity. An investment publication designed to help investors profit from companies and stocks that are undervalued on the market. Greg is the former head of Australasian Research for an Australian asset-management group and has appeared on CNBC, Sky Business’s ‘The Perrett Report’ and Lateline Business. He has written articles for The Sydney Morning HeraldThe Australian and www.ninemsn.com.au. Greg’s aim is to help you create a portfolio of stocks based on sound, proven, investing principles. His system for identifying stocks trading beneath their ‘intrinsic’ value combines a big picture understanding of the financial markets with a thorough valuation analysis of individual securities.

Greg’s method of investing is not about taking huge risks and rushing into big positions. He investigates highly profitable companies trading at a reduced premium to their net asset value, or ‘equity’ value as he puts it – and passes that research on to his subscribers to incorporate into their financial plan as they see fit.

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