Treasury Wine Estates Share Price Down by 2.49% Amidst Trade Tensions

The share price of global wine giant Treasury Wine Estates Limited [ASX:TWE] was down by 2.49% at time of writing today, and appears to be on a downward trajectory.

Amidst the worsening trade relationship between China and Australia, its share price performance has been poor in the past week, sinking down by almost 10% last Wednesday.

Why is the share price going down?

Early last week, reports circulated that China was being swamped by a supply glut of the wine producer’s low-end products, due to Treasury forcing distributors to buy cheaper labels in addition to premium brands.

The Australian Financial Review has revealed that Clarke rescued almost $1 billion of market value in a hasty, unscheduled 51-minute call to analysts. Not only did he dismiss the reports, he insisted his strategy was on track, revealing the company’s core labels were growing in China, and warned the market about relying ‘on feedback from selected [Chinese] customers.’

What does the future hold for Treasury Wine Estates?

While Clarke has done his best to soothe the concerns of shareholders, he’s admitted that his staff are experiencing delays in getting product through China’s customs.

China has long been Australia’s biggest wine-export market, but if their custom rules continue to target Australian companies and products, this may change.

And while delays at customs have been reported as only a temporary measure, tensions continue to grow over China’s intention to wield influence over the Pacific region.

Various respected business leaders, including Reserve Bank Board member Graham Kraehe, have voiced their concerns and recommended Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull’s involvement.

Before we drown ourselves in our best Penfolds in a panic, let’s hope the situation stabilises. It seems China knows how to kick us where it hurts.

Regards,
Ryan Dinse,

Editor, Money Morning

 

PS: Worried about the effect of trade tensions on your stock portfolio? Top Aussie stock picker Sam Volkering has revealed four Aussie stocks he believes could be the top performers this year. Claim your free report, ‘The Four Best ASX Stocks for 2018’ today.


Ryan Dinse is an Editor at Money Morning.

He has worked in finance and investing for the past two decades as a financial planner, senior credit analyst, equity trader and fintech entrepreneur.

With an academic background in economics, he believes that the key to making good investments is investing appropriately at each stage of the economic cycle.

Different market conditions provide different opportunities. Ryan combines fundamental, technical and economic analysis with the goal of making sure you are in the right investments at the right time.

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