US Economy

Despite the meteoric rise of China, the US economy still holds the crown for largest national GDP (by nominal standards). But as Chinese growth rates often exceed 6%, in the next decade they will likely surpass the US on this metric.

What’s the US economy like?

The US economy is a highly developed mixed economy, with services accounting for 80% of GDP.

As of now, the economy is also approaching full employment, with around a 96% employment rate. This in turn is putting upward pressure on inflation.

Is growth good?

While the US isn’t experiencing the growth it once knew, it is still expanding at a steady rate. The economy is strong today and has began to pick up after scraping through The Great Recession; growth this year is expected to come in somewhere between 2–3%, which is stronger than a basket of comparable economies worldwide.

It’s good news as well that the Fed is looking to wind down its balance sheet after a decade of unprecedented monetary aid in the form of quantitative easing.

With any luck, this and increasing interest rates will give the central bank some ammunition when it comes to the next recession, and the economy won’t be as damaged as post-2007 crisis.

Either way, you need to make sure your investments are on the right side. These articles can help you do that.

The Party’s Almost Over, ‘bout Bloody Time

I’m over hearing about the inverted US & UK bond yield curve. The warning signs of such an event occurring have been apparent for months now. And yes, I’ve seen the same, regurgitated retort about it predicting every major recession in the past 30 years…

S&P 500 in the Sell Zone Due to Options Expiry

June S&P 500 futures and options expiry is coming at the end of this week. I have found in the past that there is often a squeeze into expiry with a reversal back to the downside soon after. This expiry seems particularly interesting to me because of the underlying technical set up.
Money Morning Australia