Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull may be one step closer to passing corporate tax cuts. This comes after One Nation’s Senator, Pauline Hanson, backflipped and announced she would back the company tax plan. Ms Hanson struck a deal with the Turnbull government. But what does this tax cut plan mean for Aussie businesses and workers?
Aussie stocks bounced back strongly yesterday, and are set to open flat today, in a sign that the concern over a trade war is overdone. Perhaps Trump’s team have done their homework. Perhaps they now see that a ‘spend as much as you want’ policy in government doesn’t quite gel with ‘let’s reduce our trade deficit’.
Trump doesn’t realise the debt he borrowed to build his property empire came courtesy of the US dollar standard. And he obviously doesn’t realise the debt he needs to borrow as President comes courtesy of that same standard. Right now, markets don’t appear as terrified as they could be. In a highly leveraged global economy, the threat of a trade war should be a big concern for the equity market.
In his big State of the Union address yesterday he laid down the plan - He’s going to increase the debt. A massive US$1.5 trillion infrastructure plan. Throwing good money after bad. Or should I say printing more money to pay off printed money. What to make of it all?
With Trump’s tax cuts now in effect, US capital outflows will increase significantly this year and beyond. Given the stronger activity this is likely to generate, the current account deficit will probably rise above US$500 billion again in 2018. In short, that’s a big supply of US dollars...
If the debt ceiling doesn’t get raised, it means the US government can’t borrow more money. The risk then is that the Treasury might run out of money and literally be unable to make payments on US Treasury bonds. That’s the US government defaulting to every other nation, most notably China.
There’s a strong chance that the US will never pay their debts back. In the past the only two ways a country would get out of such a mess is by strongly devaluing their currency. Such a move would end the US’s economic dominance. None of these outcomes is particularly good for anyone.
Donald Trump’s long promised tax cuts finally passed. By reducing the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, Trump hopes to encourage US firms to repatriate capital and invest it at home. Tax cuts appease the right wing. Increased jobs and wages appease the working class. Everyone wins, right?
Earlier this week, Japanese stock market index Nikkei 225 saw their stocks decrease by 0.15%. What caused the drop?
There’s still a shaky feeling around the global economy, as people worry what years of money printing and low interest rates have done. But that’s precisely why interest rates have to rise. And soon…